.
If one looks with a different perspective, one would notice that since the capture of Afghanistan by Taliban, that was assisted by Pakistan , the region has become a headache for Pakistan rather than for rest of the world. The US withdrawal has created a huge challenge for Taliban as well as Pakistan. This has happened because ;
One. Pakistan Generals expected that once USA withdraws and Taliban captures Afghanistan , they along with Russia and China and may be Biden, a friend of Pakistan would be able to get the Taliban regime recognized and the funds would start flowing in, they had expected that after the capture, they all will be able to go to the Bank laughing. But this did not happen. Although China has released some funds but that’s not going to be enough to meet the needs of a country which has been ravaged by war for more than 40 years. Moreover, no nation would like to invest without the regime being recognized by the Global community. This must have surely become an irritant between Taliban and Pakistan and this irritant will further drive a wedge between Pakistan and Taliban and its other associate groups. No wonder Pakistan in order to control things at its western borders must be diverting lot of money to help Taliban , that it gets from world community for other purposes like ; fighting corona etc.
Two. The attacks by Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) on Taliban and by Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) on Pakistani forces across the border have increased. The two groups have claimed number of attacks, in recent months including suicide and targeted attacks — all pointing to the existence of robust terrorist infrastructure in the Af-Pak region. Although Taliban denies that ISKP has a “serious” presence in Afghanistan but Pakistan claims that the TTP is operating from Afghanistan and it is hand in glove with ruling Taliban. Since the Doha Agreement of February 2020, the TTP network upped the ante and merged at least 12 major groups in August, under Noor Wali Mehsud.
Emulating Taliban, the TTP has been positioning itself as a nationalist group against the “un-Islamic” Pakistan army and has demonstrated its prowess by attacking Pakistani forces at will, mostly across the tribal belt and in cities like Quetta and Islamabad.
Three. Pakistan Govt facing the heat arbitrarily closed the border crossings and also there are reports of meting out bad treatment to Afghan migrants at the borders, inaddition to above they are continuing to fence the border to separate Pashtuns. All of this including the inability to get diplomatic recognition to Taliban, and failing to get financial support for Taliban must have created fissures in relations between Pakistan and Taliban.
Four. In addition to above, the Baloch groups have also carried out numerous attacks on Pakistani forces during July-September. In 2021, three big attacks on Chinese interests in Pakistan have further upset Pakistan’s efforts in bringing China into Afghanistan.
Five. The TTP attacks on the Pakistan army has compelled the Pakistan army to use force in the tribal belt and that must have surely strained its relations with the locals. And now With no foreign agencies to blame and the Taliban in power in Afghanistan, TTP attacks are an embarrassment for the Pakistan army. so Pakistan is being hemmed in from all sides.
Conclusion.
India must use all the means, that it has at its disposal, to ensure that Taliban does not get recognition and No funds are provided to them. The world peace and peace in India hinges upon this. A Strong Taliban would serve the purpose of Pakistani Generals.
Had US withdrawal been orderly, Pakistan would have surely by now got Biden's nod and Taliban regime would have been recognised.
Lastly, as always, the calculations of Pakistani Generals went astray. They have a long history of trying their hands at misadventures. In 1947-48 they thought that a surprise tribal attack followed by Pak army would get them Kashmir, in 1965 they expected that by infiltrating large number of Pakistan army regulars into valley would lead to an uprising by Kashmiris which would make it difficult for Indian army to defend Kashmir but they failed on both the counts. Once again, in 1999 at Kargil they expected that the world community would come to their rescue and they will be able to place Kashmir on the top priority by occupying dominating heights across Line of Control, but once again they failed.
Although, Pakistan has been failing in its attempts but its Generals have not given up yet, they will continue to be deceitful and treacherous. They conveniently all these years fooled the West and may even be able to do it again.
India therefore must adhere to one policy as regards Pakistan, despite the pressure from West; BE A GOOD ENEMY.
No Talks, No trade, No Relations with Pakistan. Even if Pakistan gets doomed.
India must avoid at all costs the temptation of being a DOOBTEY KO TINKEY KA SAHARA.
A poor, weak, deprived, disheveled, messy Pakistan will always be Good for India’s security and a strong Pakistan will cause more pain.